The case in 60 seconds
Rongorongo still cannot be read. But “we know nothing” is also incorrect.
Outsiders recorded the writing in the nineteenth century, and approximately 26 inscribed objects survive today. The texts are mostly incised on wooden tablets with figurative and compound glyphs.
The writing is generally arranged in reverse boustrophedon: the tablet is turned 180 degrees at the end of each line to read the next. Such regular organisation, recurring sequences and correction marks suggest more than random decoration.
The most promising section is the lunar-calendar sequence on the Mamari tablet. There is fairly strong scholarly agreement on a structure associated with a sequence of lunar nights. This does not mean the whole system has been deciphered.
A radiocarbon study published in 2024 made the debate more interesting: one tablet's wood was dated to the fifteenth century. This strengthened the possibility that rongorongo was invented independently of European contact—but the wood's age is not the same as the date when the writing was incised.
The claim
“The people of Easter Island independently invented a system unlike any other script in the world. The tablets contain royal genealogies, astronomy, agriculture and lost Rapa Nui history—but modern people still cannot read them.”
Some parts of this claim are plausible; others are unproven. The system does differ markedly in form from other scripts. The 2024 dating strengthened the possibility of independent invention. But we still do not know exactly which kinds of texts the tablets contain.
What we know
The evidence
1 — Not random drawings
The texts contain recurring sequences, regular lines, complex ligatures and occasional scribal corrections. A palaeographic study in 2022 used 3D modelling to correct older drawn transcriptions, clarifying this structural organisation.
Strong support for a linguistic/notational system2 — But “fully phonetic writing” is not established either
How far Rongorongo encodes actual language remains disputed. Proposed models include fully logographic, logo-phonetic, syllabic and mixed systems. A 2024 Oxford chapter presents a new model interpreting it as logo-phonetic notation that largely omits grammatical words. This is an important proposal, not a final solution.
The script type remains open3 — The 2024 radiocarbon result really matters
The Scientific Reports study directly dated four tablets held in Rome. Three tablets' wood was close to a nineteenth-century use horizon, whereas the wood used for Tablet D / Échancrée dates securely back to the mid-fifteenth century. That is the age of the wood.
This is one of the most exciting findings in Rongorongo's history: the writing occurs on wood predating the arrival of European ships in the eighteenth century.
Strengthens the possibility of independent invention4 — Old wood ≠ old writing
The researchers specifically caution that Tablet D's wood is not native to Rapa Nui and was probably reused. A tree living in the fifteenth century therefore does not, by itself, establish that the glyphs were incised then.
A critical limitation5 — Why did the tradition disappear so quickly?
Peruvian slave raids beginning in 1862 removed a substantial proportion of Rapa Nui's elite and traditional knowledge holders. Returning survivors brought epidemics, and the population declined further. By the late 1860s, active transmission of the rongorongo tradition appears to have ended.
Loss of the “living key” to deciphermentThe Mamari tablet: our strongest clue
Rongorongo is not entirely obscure. There is fairly strong agreement among researchers that a particular sequence on the Mamari tablet is a lunar calendar.
Lines Ca6–Ca8 of Tablet C / Mamari, and possibly surrounding sections, are interpreted as a calendrical sequence reflecting the list of lunar nights known from Rapa Nui and Eastern Polynesian traditions.
Paul Horley's astronomical and palaeographic analysis argued that the sequence fits a 30-night lunar cycle. A new assessment published by Oxford University Press in 2024 also recognises the “lunar calendar” interpretation as one of the strongest partial readings in the scientific literature.
Recognising a calendar sequence is different from knowing the phonetic values of individual glyphs. Mamari therefore offers a window onto the text's subject, not yet a dictionary.
Theories
Theory A — A genuine logo-phonetic writing system
Strength: Long linear texts, sign combinations, recurring sequences, corrections and the possible lunar-calendar section strongly suggest linguistic encoding.
Weakness: A tiny corpus and lack of reliable bilingual texts prevent systematic verification of glyph-to-sound/meaning matches.
Theory B — Mnemonic notation supporting oral tradition
Strength: Small societies can support memorised chants, genealogies or ritual knowledge with reminder signs. The figurative glyphs could fit this.
Weakness: Complex structural patterns suggest a system more developed than simple reminder signs.
Theory C — Local invention after exposure to European writing
Strength: Rapa Nui people saw Europeans writing in 1770; the wood of many surviving tablets is also consistent with a nineteenth-century horizon.
Weakness: Rongorongo signs do not formally resemble known European writing. The old-wood result in 2024 also keeps an earlier independent origin open.
Theory D — Independent invention before European contact
Strength: The system's uniqueness and fifteenth-century wood make this a serious possibility. If confirmed, it would be one of the very rare examples of independent invention of writing in human history.
Weakness: The wood's age is not the inscription's age. No Rongorongo text has yet been found in an excavated context securely dated before European contact.
Theory E — Genealogies, chants, astronomy and ritual texts on the tablets
Strength: Late ethnographic testimony and Mamari's calendar sequence make multiple text genres possible.
Weakness: Most ethnographic testimony was recorded after the tradition collapsed, making reliable matches between meanings and tablets difficult.
What remains unknown
My assessment
🔴 Rongorongo is genuinely undeciphered — but we are no longer entirely in the dark.
For me, the most exciting aspect is not “strange symbols”, but the possibility that a society as isolated as Rapa Nui invented writing independently. If a pre-European Rongorongo inscription is directly dated, a very significant new example could be added to the history of independent inventions of writing.
The 2024 result substantially strengthened this possibility without settling it. Later writing could have been incised on old wood.
The greatest obstacles to decipherment are the small corpus and nineteenth-century cultural catastrophe. The tradition of reading or teaching rongorongo was broken without leaving a reliable translation key. Current research therefore proceeds through high-quality 3D scans, sound palaeography, statistical patterns, and Rapanui language and ethnography. These form its current path.
There has been substantial progress on the system's structure, and Mamari's lunar calendar has probably been identified, but Rongorongo texts still cannot be read reliably.
References
Recent academic work was prioritised. “Deciphered” claims were considered only when they could be cross-verified in peer-reviewed literature.
Scientific Reports
Oxford Academic
Oxford Academic
DOI
DOI
Taylor & Francis
Australian Museum
Last updated: 6 October 2026.